Rick Santorum Concedes to Mitt Romney, Allows Party to Unite

Rick Santorum, largely for family reasons, has suspended his campaign. It comes just at the moment when it became clear that continuing on would be fruitless. Romney has the money, organization, and delegates to make a Santorum comeback unrealistic.

Kudos to Santorum for fighting so valiantly for so long despite being outgunned by candidates with more money and better organizations. More than just that, Santorum also deserves a thumbs up for leaving the race at an appropriate time while another candidate who I will not mention by name still fights on for nothing but his own ego.

Had Santorum’s daughter not fallen more ill, maybe he would have continued to campaign, but I choose to believe he was ready to put his own personal goals aside and do what was best for his party and nation–which at this juncture is to allow Romney to focus on campaigning against President Obama.

Get ready for a nasty presidential campaign! We’ve already seen Lawrence O’Donnell of MSNBC concoct some absurdly offensive assertions against Mormonism. We’re going to see the wealthy vilified like we’ve never seen before. This won’t be pretty, and to overcome such obstacles, Romney will have to earn the support of those who were firmly behind Rick Santorum. There’s no doubt that this GOP nomination process has been a trying one and the party has grown somewhat divided. Some Santorum supporters have grown so attached to their candidate and so upset with Romney about his campaign’s attacks on the other GOP candidates that they refuse to support him. Some, like @CatholicLisa, have insisted they will not vote for Romney in any circumstance, saying he’s the same as Obama, but that doesn’t seem to be the overall sentiment.

Will they fail to support Romney when his name opposes “Obama”? If so, the party is in bigger trouble than anyone thinks. It’s more likely though that Obama will be enough to energize not only his own base, but the Republican base too and those who have been weary of Romney will get on board.

What could give Romney a huge edge is the timing of gas prices. Obama’s biggest weakness may be his failure to find and support economically feasible energy in America. His need to placate the environmentalist movement in his party has kept him away from nuclear power, clean coal, and new oil pipelines. If gas prices surpass and sit above $4.00 in November, it will be extremely challenging him to convince Americans that he isn’t at least partially at fault.

Regardless of what lies ahead, it is good to move forward from the primary season. We will now have a little slow spot when the inevitable will happen–Mitt Romney will collect the rest of the delegates he needs and the real campaign between two very different paths for our country will begin.

For an interesting take on the decision America now faces, check out this video that contrasts the fundamental philosophies of the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street Movement. It’s worth your time. Please leave your thoughts in the comments below. Thank you for reading.

As always, please subscribe to this blog by clicking the “Follow” button at the top of the right sidebar. If you don’t have a WordPress account, you’ll have to enter your email address. You can share your opinions in the comment section below or by tweeting to @Ryan_Kantor. Thanks for reading! 

Super Tuesday Preview: Romney/Santorum To Win Lion’s Share of Super Tuesday States

With ten states up for grabs on March 6th, it has been dubbed “Super Tuesday.” As the name suggests, it’s a critically important day in the race for the GOP nomination. Georgia, my home state, is a part of the election’s big day. As such, it’s only appropriate that I share a little preview of what we may see on Super Tuesday.

Alaska, Georgia, Idaho, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Vermont, and Virginia are up for grabs.

In Alaska Todd Palin has officially endorsed Newt Gingrich while Sarah Palin has all but endorsed the Georgian. In 2008 Mitt Romney won over 43% of the Alaskan vote, and while Gingrich and Romney have their advantages, Santorum’s principled conservatism should play well with the blue-collar Republicans in our most northern state. Alaska’s 27 delegates are determined by caucus, which generally seems to favor candidates with more passionate followings. If not for the format of the election, I’d probably favor Romney, but given its quirky nature everyone has a chance, including Ron Paul who is still searching for his first victory and spending time and resources in Alaska. Polls are unavailable, making a prediction just about impossible.

Georgia is much easier to predict. Newt Gingrich’s home state is expected to fall his way. Santorum can’t be counted completely out in Georgia as his social conservatism helps him in southern states, such as in Tennessee where he is expected to win.

It’s critically important that Newt fails to regain his momentum and doesn’t get another shot at the nomination. Of the four remaining GOP candidates, Gingrich has the highest negatives and the largest deficit against Obama in hypothetical general election polls. It is in the GOP’s best interest to nominate one of the other three candidates. A loss or (more likely) a slim win in Georgia would quell hopes of a Gingrich surge.

One would expect Ohio, not to far from western Pennsylvania where Santorum has always made his hay, to support former Senator Santorum, but with Romney’s effective campaign working hard in the Buckeye state, it’s a nearly toss up right now. Either way, Santorum is ineligible for many of Ohio’s delegates due to procedural error on his campaign’s part and will suffer as a result.

North Dakota, Idaho, and Oklahoma are tougher to predict. North Dakota is free game for Ron Paul, where his strong ground game and resources make him competitive, but Romney has to be the default favorite. Oklahoma and their Evangelical voters are expected to go to Santorum.

“Idaho may end up in his [Romney's] column because any state with a sizeable Mormon population is in play,” said Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia. “They’re motivated and they turn out.”

Massachusetts, Vermont, and Virginia are just about locks for the front-runner Romney. Mitt Romney was fairly dominant in New Hampshire and I expect his moderate, “best to beat Obama” appeal to continue to play well in New England. In Virginia, Santorum and Gingrich did not make the ballot so it will be a two-man race between Romney and Ron Paul. Given the situation, I can’t fathom Romney not winning by a large margin. Even without the ballot fiasco I would have expected Virginians to support Romney.

Anything can happen on what will be an interesting day in American politics. Gingrich really must win Georgia and do it by 10+ points. He is expected to win Mississippi, Texas, North Carolina, and a few other post-Super Tuesday states, but he can’t lose all his budding momentum before then. Santorum has said he just needs to avoid “being voted off the island.” To do that he’ll need to win multiple states.

I think you’ll see Romney earn more Super Tuesday delegates than any of his competitors. It’s not at all unreasonable for him to win five of the ten states that will be voting or caucusing on the day, leaving just five states for the other three to squabble between. If Gingrich only wins Georgia, which seems to be the case, it’ll be hard to look at him as a viable candidate, but if Santorum has a poor showing he may retake the mantle as Romney’s chief rival. Regardless, we’ll have an exciting day that hopefully can go a long way towards wrapping up the nomination for someone, so the Republicans can stop arguing about minor differences in records and start going after Obama on blocking deep-sea drilling, stopping nuclear power growth, nixing the Keystone XL Pipeline, and blocking oil shale development as US gas prices shoot past an average price of $3.70/gallon.

Rough Predictions

Romney: Five States
Santorum: Three States
Gingrich: One State
Paul: One State

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Santorum Sweeps Three States, Reframes Race

Last night (Tuesday, Feb 7th) was another game changer in a wild race for the GOP nomination. Newt Gingrich had his big night back in South Carolina, then lost momentum as Romney won Florida and Nevada back-to-back. Santorum though, never really had his time. His win in Iowa wasn’t known until after the votes were certified. By then, the opportunity for momentum and publicity was largely diminished.

Now, Rick Santorum will get his belated moment in the spotlight. Three wins in one night have given his campaign second life. Santorum exclaimed “Conservatism is alive and well…We doubled him up here, and in Minnesota.” He even managed to win Colorado, where Romney won handily in 2008.

Newt Gingrich has been attempting to cast the election as a two-man race between a moderate, Mitt Romney, and a true conservative–himself. Negative ads coupled with heaps of baggage and an “angry” approach to the campaign have led many to look away from Gingrich, making this anything but a two-man race. Those looking for a true conservative are finding that Rick Santorum holds genuine convictions where other candidates (save Ron Paul) seem more like wind socks.

Santorum showed principle and discipline when he avoided attacking Mitt Romney for his work at Bain Capital, this while Gingrich and Rick Perry were pounding away and it was the in vogue thing to do. I find it very hard to believe that Newt Gingrich really has a problem with a venture capital firm buying ownership of a company, streamlining the business, saving the company, and selling it for massive profits. Few, if any, real economic conservatives have a problem with this, but Newt has relentlessly bashed Romney for this while also claiming to be the true conservative in the election.

Rick Santorum is largely known for his social stances, especially his defense of the unborn. He contrasts boldly with Barack Obama (who is currently in a battle with the Catholic Church) when he talks about the Declaration of Independence and God-given rights. Santorum referenced this bold contrast as a key to beating President Obama in the general election.

I’m not sure how I feel about that. There’s no doubt in my mind that Rick Santorum is the most honest, consistent, and genuine conservative in the race, but will his “bold contrast” with President Obama help or hurt him in the general election?

If Santorum is the nominee President Obama will likely try to focus on social issues, which is not what the Republicans want. Obama is much better off if the election is about Santorum’s social views instead of his own record handling the economy. Any way the President can minimize talk of the Keystone XL Pipeline, a Canadian oil pipeline that would have crossed America’s breadbasket and provided much-needed jobs and energy, is a win for him. His decision to block construction of the Keystone XL Pipeline could be a political nightmare for him as gas prices inch up and the general election inches near. He’d also probably like to avoid talk of Solyndra, a solar energy company his administration sought to boost though government funding that ended up filing for bankruptcy. Will Santorum’s bold stances allow Obama to move the focus of the election to more favorable issues?

The problem with nominating a moderate is the lack of passion you get from your base. You need passion to get people to knock on doors, donate money, and otherwise contribute to your campaign. Gingrich warned that all the areas that Romney won in Florida had especially low turnout relative to the areas he lost. The positive to having a moderate as your party’s nominee is that they are more likely to do well with independent voters. That’s not to say that Rick Santorum can’t attract moderate voters though. His economic plans, which I believe he needs to extenuate more, and his personality seem to attract blue-collar “Reagan Democrats.”

Santorum has proposed cutting corporate taxes on manufacturing to 0%… again to 0%. This would bring a ridiculous amount of manufacturing jobs back to America and help a good many Americans. This coupled with Rick Santorum’s vote against right-to-work laws while in Senate and Obama’s blocking of the Keystone which was expected to create 20,000 new jobs, many of which would have been union jobs could make Rick Santorum a very strong candidate in the rust belt. Is it unrealistic to think he can win states like Ohio and Indiana? I’d venture to say no.

Do you think Rick Santorum could give Obama a solid battle in a general election, or do you (like current national polls) think he’d lose badly? You can watch his full victory speech on Youtube by clicking here.

As always, please subscribe to this blog by clicking the “Follow” button at the top of the right sidebar. If you don’t have a WordPress account, you’ll have to enter your email address. You can share your opinions in the comment section below or by tweeting to @Ryan_Kantor. Thanks for reading! 

Romney On The Verge After Winning Florida Primary

Mitt Romney earned a much-needed bounce back win in the January 31st Florida primary. After getting pummeled in South Carolina, the Romney campaign regrouped and then retook the momentum by defeating Gingrich, and doing so by a wider margin than their margin of defeat in South Carolina. Now they look ahead to the Maine primary where they’ll be heavy favorites and the Nevada caucuses where a quarter of Republicans are Mormon. With a momentum, delegate, and money advantage Romney is in great shape.

One really interesting aspect we’ve seen is the impact that the national debates have had. Romney had the early lead in South Carolina, but after two great debate performances by Newt Gingrich, the momentum swung. The story was the exact opposite in Florida with Newt losing an early lead after two strong debate performances from Romney. 2/3 of Floridians said the debates were an important factor in their vote, and I think that’s great. I think it means Republican and conservative voters are engaged and learning about their candidates, rather than just listening to negative ad campaigns.

I think that level of engagement, combined with the now likely nomination of a fairly moderate and frankly pretty likable candidate in Romney has to worry the Obama campaign. Romney does well with independents and I believe most would say he’s closer to the center than Obama.

With oil executives saying gas prices are likely to rise to as high as $5.00, Obama could become extremely vulnerable. His policies have been extremely detrimental to domestic energy production by way of coal, nuclear, and oil, and the Republicans will be sure to drill him on those issues (pun unintended, but welcomed). While Republicans want the Keystone Pipeline because it’s great for America, if Obama really won’t pass it and gas prices sky-rocket… ouch!

The Obama campaign must be hoping Romney will stumble. Surely they would much rather face a candidate with less money, weaker infrastructure, excessive baggage, extreme libertarian views, or a focus on social views, but it appears Romney is on the verge.

As always, please subscribe to this blog by clicking the “Follow” button at the top of the right sidebar. If you don’t have a WordPress account, you’ll have to enter your email address. You can share your opinions in the comment section below or by tweeting to @Ryan_Kantor. Thanks for reading! 

Obama Makes Final State of The Union Address Before Election: Visionary or Hypocrite?

Tonight was President Obama’s final State of the Union address before the November elections, and he spoke with much of the oratory skill for which he is lauded. He made a fairly decent effort to avoid outright attacks which was the proper move to avoid looking petty and maintain the brand he built in 2008. He mentioned specific programs, goals, and statistics. He said the state of the union is “getting stronger,” and he shared a vision of a prosperous America. Below is a recap of some key points and some commentary, but I ask you to make the call. Did President Obama sound like a visionary or a hypocrite in his big speech?

President Obama started the speech by highlighting that we don’t have troops in Iraq for the first time in nine years. He was eager to mention the assassination of Bin Laden saying, ”For the first time in two decades Osama Bin Laden is not a threat to this country.” For that, he received a standing ovation, as it’s one of the few issues that just about everyone is in agreement on. In what I thought was the strongest portion of the speech, Obama praised our servicemen in uniform, really getting everyone on his side early.

Referencing those heroes serving our country, he asked listeners to “imagine what we could accomplish if we follow their example.” He proceeded to share a vision of a beautiful flourishing America. He mentioned high-tech manufacturing jobs and energy independence.”We can do this. I know we can because we’ve done it before.” I found it particularly interesting that he paid so much attention to the manufacturing sector. This compares interestingly with Rick Santorum who has also focused on manufacturing and explained that the regulations and taxes on US manufacturers create 20% greater costs (excluding labor costs) as compared to our top trade partners. Santorum has proposed cutting their corporate tax rate to 0% and repealing Obama’s regulations.

Similar to Mitt Romney‘s line about this election being about the “soul of America” Obama said “we have to reclaim them [American values].” Then dissimilar to what Romney and many would say is consistent with American values, he began to start his attacks on the most wealthy Americans. He described how the wealthy got richer and the poor were struggling and then the “house of cards” collapsed in 2008. He assured that his new rules will hold Wall Street accountable so a crisis like this never happens again.

He really got his fellow Democrats fired up when he said he’d strongly fight against those who’d like to move us back to the policies that got us into this mess, a subtle shot at the previous administration. One of the biggest triumphs of his economic theory was GM’s positive response to government intervention. Obama exclaimed, “GM is back on top as the world’s number one auto-maker…What’s happening in Detroit can happen in other industries.” It’s the second sentence that rings especially loudly, and I’ll reference it again shortly.

The President then mentioned that his administration has brought up twice as many trade cases against China as compared to the Bush administration. He announced plans to create a new governmental body to investigate and check for unfair trade practices, primarily in dealing with China. While he was on the topic of China he mentioned that we have to protect our intellectual property rights, an obvious reference to the SOPA debate and likely a plea to his friends in Hollywood, telling them I’m still looking out for you.

Something I found a little hypocritical was his call to “turn our unemployment system into a re-employment system.” He has pushed extension after extension of unemployment benefits so now one can receive those benefits for nearly two years (99 weeks). Unemployment benefits have been statistically proven to dramatically increase the time it takes for one to re-enter the workforce, so I felt his rhetoric was intellectually dishonest. He also mentioned skill training which conservatives love to hear and heard from Newt Gingrich  in a recent debate.

In what I thought was the boldest part of the speech, President Obama called for every state to pass a law requiring everyone to stay in high school until they graduate or turn 18.

Obama then turned his attention to immigration. He argued that his administration has put more (federal) troops on the ground to defend the border, and that’s why there are less illegal border crossing. The slow economy, especially in the construction industry likely played a greater role in any reduction than any direct government action. (On a sidebar, how could they figure how many undetected illegal border crossing there are? Wouldn’t they have to see them to count them?) Of course, his Department of Justice also sued Arizona, Alabama, and South Carolina for enforcing immigration laws on a state level. 

The President is ready to open more than 75% of offshore gas resources. American oil production is the highest it’s been in eight years–both are good news. He wants to create 600,000 jobs around our natural gas resources. Further, he said “I will not walk away from the promise of clean energy,” even saying some subsidies will fail obviously referencing Solyndra. He continued to talk about exploring our energy options and more spoke about jobs created via infrastructure projects without direct mention of the Keystone XL Pipeline. He later called for an extension on the payroll tax cut with nothing attached, a reference to the pipeline. After stopping construction on an infrastructure project that would have create 20,000 direct jobs these promises don’t seem that genuine. I thought this was one of the weaker parts of the speech as he was defensive about Solyndra and doesn’t appear genuine about energy and infrastructure to anyone who supported the Keystone XL Pipeline.

He moved his attention to regulations and the economy, saying “no bailouts, no handouts, and no cop-outs…we won’t bail you out again.” Republicans loved this line in Frank Luntz’s dial testing. What I thought was interesting though was that earlier he said what was happening in Detroit because of the auto bailout could happen in other cities. I don’t understand how the two can be reconciled. No bailouts, but we can do more bailouts and revive a city like we did in Detroit? I may have missed something, I admittedly made some nachos at one point during the speech.

He then unveiled what we were all waiting for, the Buffett Rule. He argued that those who make more than a million dollars a year shouldn’t pay under 30%. This specifically targets investors that pay capital gains taxes and subtly references Mitt Romney’s tax release. This is a divisive issue that Republicans and Democrats strongly disagree on. In what was the most partisan moment of the speech Obama pitted those making under $200,000 against the very wealthy essentially saying we can cut your taxes if we tax them more. Conservatives are willing to sacrifice fairness for everyone’s overall well-being while many liberals are willing to sacrifice everyone’s well-being for the sake of fairness. Definitely click here to view an extremely interesting video of Obama debating Hillary Clinton on this topic.

Finally, President Obama assured the American people that we are not prepared to allow Iran to acquire nuclear weapons. This was a great moment and while some may be skeptical, it was good to hear nonetheless. He finished off by promising his “iron clad commitment to Israel’s safety,” despite just recently calling them to give away land and return to 1967 borders.

Overall the speech was well articulated, but I thought some points were inconsistent with his actions and thus misleading. What did you think? Please share your thoughts and as always with the political posts, please keep the comments respectful.

As always, please subscribe to this blog by clicking the “Follow” button at the top of the right sidebar. If you don’t have a WordPress account, you’ll have to enter your email address. You can share your opinions in the comment section below or by tweeting to @Ryan_Kantor. Thanks for reading! 

Newt Gingrich Earns First GOP Primary Victory

As I’m sure you know by now, Newt Gingrich has won the South Carolina GOP primary, and did so decisively. Now, Santorum, Romney, and Gingrich all may claim victory in one state. While the winner of South Carolina has gone on to win the nomination in every GOP primary since 1980, each of those winners also won either Iowa or New Hampshire. We truly have a toss-up race at this juncture.

It was expected that Newt Gingrich would give Romney a tough race in South Carolina, but nobody was expecting Gingrich to win by over 75,000 votes and 12%. It’s interesting to note that his second wife’s comments which many thought would ruin his election hopes, didn’t have a negative impact. He handled questions about the issue so well, most notably in the debate, he diffused any crash that could have happened and even seemed to benefit from being the center of attention.

Gingrich will pick up quite a bit of momentum from this strong win, but as Karl Rove explained, let’s not mistake this victory for a historic blowout, as the average margin of victory in South Carolina’s GOP primary is 17%. The only piece of history from today’s win is that this is the first time we’ve had a different winner in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. Romney still holds the most delegates at the moment, which in the end will decide the nominee.

Santorum looks on. He’ll need a respectable performance in Florida so he can go on to what he calls “neutral turf” with sufficient momentum, and more importantly, the resources to compete.

In Newt Gingrich’s victory speech he spoke harshly about what another term with President Obama would be like, asking America to “imagine how radical he would be in a second term.”

He stood up for those of faith in our country saying, “one issue is the growing anti-religious bigotry of our elites.” He more specifically referenced a judge in San Antonio who threatened to jail any superintendent who allowed a school to use the words “invocation,” “benediction,” or “God,” recite a public prayer, or hold a moment of silence in a graduation ceremony.

Even after racial criticism for calling President Obama the “best food stamp president,” Newt refused to relent, asserting that “historically, President Obama has been the best food stamp president in American history…I want to be the best pay check president in American history.”

He also touched on America’s lack of energy independence, an issue on which President Obama is particularly vulnerable. “I want America to become so energy independent that no American president ever again bows to a Saudi king,” referencing a moment early in Obama’s presidency on a trip to Saudi Arabia. He continued by promising to authorize sequestration of our natural resources on day one. He then criticized President Obama for stopping the Keystone Pipeline which would have created jobs through the building of the pipeline, the maintenance for the pipeline, and the refining of the oil, and explained why President Obama did so “…because Barack Obama is taking care of his left-wing friends in San Francisco.”

What’s your take on Newt Gingrich’s big win?

As always, please subscribe to this blog by clicking the “Follow” button at the top of the right sidebar. If you don’t have a WordPress account, you’ll have to enter your email address. You can share your opinions in the comment section below or by tweeting to @Ryan_Kantor. Thanks for reading! 

#NHDebate Recap Jan 7, 2012

Less than 72 hours until the New Hampshire primary, the six remaining major candidates for GOP nomination gathered in Manchester, New Hampshire for a nationally broadcast debate. Here were the key points and most interesting tidbits.
  • When asked if he would stand behind his negative ads against Rick SantorumRon Paul didn’t back down. The ad accuses Rick Santorum of being a corrupt big government guy among other things. Paul cited a liberal activist group (CREW) that called him corrupt, his vote against right-to-work laws, and five votes for raising the national debt limit.
  • Rick Santorum defended himself by pointing out that the corruption charges came from a very left-wing organization saying (paraphrasing) ”you’re not conservative if you haven’t been attacked by CREW.” He explained that he was one of the few guys working on entitlement reform back when we were running a surplus, and that the debt ceiling increases were necessary to keep the government running and he always worked to tie-in spending decreases. He also noted that unlike Ron Paul, he is not a Libertarian, he is a conservative.
  • Rick Perry claimed to be the only outsider that has not been part of the Washington problem (despite sending lobbyists to Washington to lobby for earmarks for Texas).
  • Jon Huntsman argued for congressional term limits.
  • Ron Paul claimed that our drug laws and judicial system are racist, because many more African-Americans are arrested on drug charges than Caucasians, despite comparable drug usage. He went on to ask, (paraphrasing) “when was the last time you saw a rich white man get the electric chair?” He said this in response to accusations about his 20 year-old newsletters which apparently contained inappropriate racial commentary.
  • Newt Gingrich explained that the sacrament of marriage is of enormous, 3,000 year old, foundation for our country. He also said that everyone should be treated with respect, and there should be ways to give hospital visitation rights, include partners in wills, etc. Multiple candidates including the “moderate” Mitt Romney endorsed a constitutional amendment to define marriage as between a man and woman.
  • Newt Gingrich informed the audience that following Massachusetts’ decision to guarantee the right to marriage for same-sex couples, the state government attempted to force the Catholic Church to comply with a state law saying that homosexual-couples must be allowed to adopt children. The church’s non-compliance forced the shutdown of their adoption services in the state. The Catholic Church was responsible for about half of the adoption placements in Massachusetts. This was one of the more interesting talking points. Everyone on the stage seemed to agree with Gingrich when he pointed out how same-sex marriage has repercussions that aren’t being talked about by the biased media.
  • Santorum argued that the foreign policy weakness displayed by the Obama administration is culpable for what we are seeing from Iran, with their military exercises practicing closing the Straight of Hormuz.
  • Rick Perry literally said “I would send troops back into Iraq.” When asked if he agreed, Newt Gingrich flatly said no without showing up or confronting Perry.
  • Gingrich said we need to be more energy independent so “an American President never again bows to a Saudi king,” referencing Obama bowing down to a Saudi king earlier in his Presidential tenure.
  • Mitt Romney said something that all conservatives will love, (paraphrasing) ”government can do some things to create jobs, but by-in-large they get in the way.”
  • Rick Santorum said he would repeal all of Obama’s 150+ regulations (something he can do immediately) and replace them with more reasonable ones or not replace them at all.
  • Mitt Romney continued to push his new slogan, exclaiming that “this election is about the soul of America.” He makes a good point and makes one question where the country is headed, a question he likely wants voters to ask themselves as most have indicated that they feel the country is headed in the wrong direction.
  • Newt Gingrich pointed out that the Wall Street Journal called Mitt Romney’s job creation plan timid and more like Obama’s in comparison to his own. Santorum agreed that Mitt’s plans aren’t bold and added he didn’t like to talk about “middle-class,” “upper-class,” etc, as he has grown tired of all the class warfare (referencing recent rhetoric from President Obama).
  • “I’d be at the shooting range” was Rick Perry’s response to the final question, what would you be doing on a Saturday night if you weren’t running for President.

What did you think? Did I miss anything big?

As always, please subscribe to this blog by clicking the “Follow” button at the top of the right sidebar. If you don’t have a WordPress account, you’ll have to enter your email address. You can share your opinions in the comment section below or by tweeting to @Ryan_Kantor. Thanks for reading! 

Santorum Surges In Iowa As Caucuses Approach

As the Iowa caucuses approach, it appears there was time for one more candidate to surge to the forefront. Conservative Republicans–likely feeling disillusioned with a field that doesn’t include Chris Christie, Paul Ryan, Marco Rubio, or Bobby Jindal–may have finally found a consistent conservative in Rick Santorum, who after hovering below 5% for much of his campaign, has leaped as high as 16% in some polls of Republican Iowans. Santorum has earned key endorsements which overtime have eroded what could be the biggest obstacle he faces, the perception that he can’t win the nomination.

According to his own website:

“Sarah Palin praised Rick for his ‘consistency on protecting the sanctity of life.’ Mike Huckabee said he ‘adores Rick Santorum’s conviction.’ Glenn Beck called Rick Santorum the ‘next George Washington,’ and encouraged voters ‘to take a look at him.’ And Rush Limbaugh said it would be ‘great’ if Rick Santorum became President.”

In addition he earned a big endorsement from  a popular conservative radio talk show host in Iowa who said that Rick Santorum was the only one who fit the criteria for his ideal candidate:

“My ideal candidate must be a conservative who believes in a constitutionally limited government, fiscal responsibility, strong national defense and unflagging devotion to life and traditional marriage.”  - Sam Clovis

The momentum from the endorsements and surging Iowa polls is causing conservatives finally give Rick Santorum a serious look. Many Republicans feel that Romney is the most “electable” candidate so much of Santorum’s plausibility will depend on if voters choose the candidate they feel is best or the most likely to beat Obama. For those willing to vote for the best candidate Santorum offers consistency that many of the other candidates do not.

Mitt Romney has proclaimed himself to be a “moderate” with “progressive views.” Comments like that coupled with some liberal stances on social issues while serving in super liberal Massachusetts have troubled some Republicans.

Newt Gingrich filmed the now infamous global warming commercial with Nancy Pelosi, which he has said was the “dumbest thing I’ve ever done.” He’s also been lampooned for his work with Freddie Mac (which frankly has been overblown) and criticized for more personal issues including a reprimand and $300,000 fine from the House Ethics Committee and multiple extramarital affairs–the latter of which hurts perceptions of his electability. According to Ann Coulter, “Gingrich is almost certainly unelectable based solely on his having cheated on and divorced two wives.

Ron Paul has also surged in Iowa, taking first place in most polls, but isn’t considered a conservative by many, especially on foreign policy issues. A true libertarian competing in the Republican primary, Ron Paul is not directly fighting for the same core group of voters as Santorum.

Rick Santorum’s most direct opponents are Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann, who compete for similar voter blocks. Some have predicted that if one or two of them were to drop out the remaining candidate(s) would win the majority of their supporters about become a real force. This seems unlikely though. Rick Perry rocketed in the polls shortly after entering the race, but has faded since liberal streaks regarding immigration (in-state tuition for illegal aliens) and a state mandate for a HPV vaccination were exposed. Bachmann is proving her consistent conservatism, however other problems exist. In a recent debate she offered skewed attacks at best, dishonest ones at worst. After her assertions were called factually incorrect multiple times, she felt the need to tell the audience that she “is a serious candidate,” which to me made her seem much less serious. She also has been by far the most negative candidate, perhaps thinking she could be more aggressive and negative without rebuke due to her gender. While her attacks may have hurt opponents, they do not seem to have helped her candidacy.

For conservatives looking for the best candidate–the one that best represents and articulates their views–that leaves Rick Santorum. He’s been consistent on social issues, disagreeing with Ron Paul on the war on drugs, authoring the partial birth abortion ban act, and standing up for traditional marriage. Santorum has expressed better than all the other candidates that he understands the seriousness of a nuclear Iran.  Meanwhile, a high-tech US drone was captured and is being reverse-engineered by the Iranian government while President Obama sits idly. Santorum has offered real solutions to help the US manufacturing industry and in turn many union members, while Obama plays politics supporting unions with unionization laws, but hurting actual union workers more directly through economic policy (i.e., blocking construction of oil pipeline that would have require thousands of US jobs, many union jobs).

Liberals really loathe Santorum. They’ve gone as far as to conjure up incredibly disrespectful stories about him and his family. Possibly in response to Santorum calling abortion ban exceptions for health reasons “phony”–mental health issues like anxiety are often classified as a health reason–a story was circulated that calls Santorum a hypocrite for authorizing his wife to have a life-saving abortion amid a family tragedy. Aside from the story being untrue and tasteless, the real story is incredibly sad and touching. (6% of abortions in the US are done for health reasons, 1% for rape/incest, 93% for social reasons.) They’ve also attempted to tie disgusting vulgarity to his last name.

It will be interesting to see what they have to say if the most consistently conservative candidate in the GOP field continues to rise in the polls. How do you feel about Rick Santorum’s sudden emergence?

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